Match

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Rilski Sportist: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad

Pirin BlagoevgradRilski Sportist

The Footlab model makes Pirin Blagoevgrad the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Rilski Sportist. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Rilski Sportist?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Pirin Blagoevgrad (1,530) and Rilski Sportist (1,583).

Pirin Blagoevgrad win40 %
Draw29 %
Rilski Sportist win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Rilski Sportist have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pirin Blagoevgrad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Nesebar(away)0-7Second League
Aug 18, 2026Hebar 1918(home)2-3Second League
Aug 9, 2026Sportist Svoge(away)0-1Second League
Aug 3, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-3Second League
Jul 28, 2026Dobrudzha(away)1-5Second League
Rilski Sportist
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Montana(home)2-1Second League
Aug 15, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)1-1Second League
Aug 9, 2026Spartak Pleven(home)2-2Second League
Aug 1, 2026Fratria(away)0-1Second League
Jul 28, 2026Ludogorets II(home)0-1Second League

How many goals should we expect?

Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rilski Sportist score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pirin Blagoevgrad0.82.145/158/15
Rilski Sportist1.01.227/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (0 points from 5 matches) and Rilski Sportist sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Rilski Sportist5122565
18Pirin Blagoevgrad50053190

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Rilski Sportist?
The Footlab model makes Pirin Blagoevgrad the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Rilski Sportist.
Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Rilski Sportist played?
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Rilski Sportist is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pirin Blagoevgrad and Rilski Sportist

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