Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Rilski Sportist: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
The Footlab model makes Pirin Blagoevgrad the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Rilski Sportist. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Rilski Sportist?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Pirin Blagoevgrad (1,530) and Rilski Sportist (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Rilski Sportist have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rilski Sportist score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Rilski Sportist | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (0 points from 5 matches) and Rilski Sportist sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rilski Sportist | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Rilski Sportist?
- The Footlab model makes Pirin Blagoevgrad the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Rilski Sportist.
- Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Rilski Sportist played?
- Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Rilski Sportist is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsLudogorets II
- Apr 17, 2027NesebarvsVihren
- Apr 17, 2027Spartak PlevenvsFratria
- Apr 17, 2027MontanavsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Apr 17, 2027DobrudzhavsHebar 1918
- Apr 17, 2027Yantra 2019vsBeroe
- Apr 17, 2027MarekvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Apr 17, 2027Sportist SvogevsCSKA Sofia II