Marek vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa
The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marek vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Marek (1,644) and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa (1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 4-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Montana(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Marek win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0-1 Marek | Second League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Marek 1-1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 4-1 Marek | Second League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Marek 2-0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marek sit 12th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Marek | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marek vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
- The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa.
- Where and when is Marek vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa played?
- Marek vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsLudogorets II
- Apr 17, 2027NesebarvsVihren
- Apr 17, 2027Spartak PlevenvsFratria
- Apr 17, 2027MontanavsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Apr 17, 2027DobrudzhavsHebar 1918
- Apr 17, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsRilski Sportist
- Apr 17, 2027Yantra 2019vsBeroe
- Apr 17, 2027Sportist SvogevsCSKA Sofia II