Spartak Pleven vs Fratria: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pleven Stadium, Pleven
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Spartak Pleven. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Pleven vs Fratria?
Fratria starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,726 vs 1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Pleven have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Fratria have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marek(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Spartak Pleven win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Fratria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Spartak Pleven 1-1 Fratria | Second League |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fratria 1-0 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Fratria 0-2 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Spartak Pleven 0-0 Fratria | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Pleven vs Fratria on Apr 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Pleven score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Pleven | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Fratria | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Pleven sit 9th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Fratria sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fratria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Spartak Pleven | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Pleven vs Fratria?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Spartak Pleven.
- Where and when is Spartak Pleven vs Fratria played?
- Spartak Pleven vs Fratria is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pleven Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsLudogorets II
- Apr 17, 2027NesebarvsVihren
- Apr 17, 2027MontanavsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Apr 17, 2027DobrudzhavsHebar 1918
- Apr 17, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsRilski Sportist
- Apr 17, 2027Yantra 2019vsBeroe
- Apr 17, 2027MarekvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Apr 17, 2027Sportist SvogevsCSKA Sofia II