Montana vs CSKA Sofia II: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana
The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Montana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montana vs CSKA Sofia II?
CSKA Sofia II starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,736 vs 1,625).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; CSKA Sofia II have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 4-3 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Montana win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 CSKA Sofia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | CSKA Sofia II 0-0 Montana | Second League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Montana 0-0 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Sofia II vs Montana on Mar 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia II score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| CSKA Sofia II | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and CSKA Sofia II sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montana vs CSKA Sofia II?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Montana.
- Where and when is Montana vs CSKA Sofia II played?
- Montana vs CSKA Sofia II is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsHebar 1918
- Apr 3, 2027NesebarvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Apr 3, 2027Spartak PlevenvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Apr 3, 2027DobrudzhavsVihren
- Apr 3, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsMarek
- Apr 3, 2027Yantra 2019vsRilski Sportist
- Apr 3, 2027Sportist SvogevsBeroe
- Apr 3, 2027FratriavsLudogorets II