Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
The Footlab AI model makes Marek the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marek wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,525 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek?
Marek starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,612 vs 1,453).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pirin Blagoevgrad
4-3-3- 10T. Tasev
- 9M. Kokalkov
- 21K. Petsev
- 18V. Gogov
- 14A. Bliznakov
- 80M. Stefanov
- 30I. Kostov
- 3Deyan Ivanov
- 25G. Dimanchev
- 17D. Zanev
- 76K. Kostov
Marek
4-3-3- 10N. Ganchev
- 19Dimitar Goranov
- 11M. Miletić
- 16S. Mechev
- 90P. Georgiev
- 88E. George
- 23E. Viyachki
- 3M. Petkov
- 33D. Kirilov
- 2Nikolay Plyakov
- 21K. Kostadinov
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Marek have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv Mezdra(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Marek(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chavdar Troyan(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-3 | Second League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pirin Blagoevgrad wins, 2 draws, 2 Marek wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Marek 3-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| May 2, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 Marek | Second League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Marek 3-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Marek 0-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-1 Marek | Second League |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 3-0 Marek | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.7 | 0 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Marek | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (1 point from 12 matches) and Marek sit 12th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Marek | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 1 |
A question about Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marek the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek played?
- Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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