Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
The Footlab model makes Pirin Blagoevgrad the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek?
Marek starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,644 vs 1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Marek have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 4-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Montana(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Marek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 Marek | Second League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Marek 3-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Marek 0-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-1 Marek | Second League |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 3-0 Marek | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 3-1 Marek | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Marek | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (0 points from 5 matches) and Marek sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Marek | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek?
- The Footlab model makes Pirin Blagoevgrad the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Marek.
- Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek played?
- Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsHebar 1918
- Apr 3, 2027NesebarvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Apr 3, 2027Spartak PlevenvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Apr 3, 2027MontanavsCSKA Sofia II
- Apr 3, 2027DobrudzhavsVihren
- Apr 3, 2027Yantra 2019vsRilski Sportist
- Apr 3, 2027Sportist SvogevsBeroe
- Apr 3, 2027FratriavsLudogorets II