Match

Sportist Svoge vs Beroe: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge

Sportist SvogeBeroe

The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportist Svoge vs Beroe?

Beroe starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,657 vs 1,541).

Sportist Svoge win35 %
Draw29 %
Beroe win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportist Svoge have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Beroe have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportist Svoge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Yantra 2019(away)0-1Second League
Aug 16, 2026Nesebar(home)0-1Second League
Aug 9, 2026Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)1-0Second League
Aug 2, 2026Dobrudzha(away)0-0Second League
Jul 25, 2026Montana(home)2-2Second League
Beroe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Spartak Pleven(home)3-0Second League
Aug 14, 2026Fratria(away)0-2Second League
Aug 10, 2026Ludogorets II(home)2-0Second League
Aug 1, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)0-1Second League
Jul 24, 2026Hebar 1918(home)2-1Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sportist Svoge win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Beroe win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 9, 2023Beroe 1-0 Sportist SvogeFirst League

Last archived meeting: Beroe vs Sportist Svoge on Jun 9, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Beroe score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportist Svoge0.71.163/154/15
Beroe1.10.965/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportist Svoge sit 16th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Beroe sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Beroe5302749
16Sportist Svoge5122345

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportist Svoge vs Beroe?
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Sportist Svoge.
Where and when is Sportist Svoge vs Beroe played?
Sportist Svoge vs Beroe is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sportist Svoge and Beroe

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