Where and when is Nesebar vs Ludogorets II played?

Nesebar vs Ludogorets II is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nesebar vs Ludogorets II: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Nesebar

Nesebar

Ludogorets II

The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Ludogorets II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nesebar vs Ludogorets II?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Nesebar (1,708) and Ludogorets II (1,629).

Nesebar win55 %

Draw25 %

Ludogorets II win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nesebar have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Ludogorets II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nesebar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)	7-0	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Sportist Svoge(away)	1-0	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 4, 2026	Montana(away)	1-3	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home)	1-5	Second League

Ludogorets II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Vihren(home)	0-2	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Beroe(away)	0-2	Second League
Aug 3, 2026	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home)	2-1	Second League
Jul 28, 2026	Rilski Sportist(away)	1-0	Second League
Jul 4, 2026	Yantra 2019(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nesebar win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ludogorets II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 2, 2025	Ludogorets II 2-0 Nesebar	Second League
Sep 21, 2024	Nesebar 2-2 Ludogorets II	Second League
Dec 3, 2018	Ludogorets II 4-1 Nesebar	Second League
Jul 29, 2018	Nesebar 4-2 Ludogorets II	Second League
Mar 4, 2018	Ludogorets II 0-2 Nesebar	Second League
Aug 13, 2017	Nesebar 3-1 Ludogorets II	Second League

Last archived meeting: Ludogorets II vs Nesebar on Apr 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nesebar score 3.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets II score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nesebar	3.7	1.1	7	7/15	11/15
Ludogorets II	1.3	1.3	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nesebar sit 3rd in Second League (9 points from 5 matches) and Ludogorets II sit 13th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Nesebar	5	3	0	2	12	8	9
13	Ludogorets II	4	2	0	2	3	5	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nesebar vs Ludogorets II?: The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Ludogorets II.
Where and when is Nesebar vs Ludogorets II played?: Nesebar vs Ludogorets II is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.