Sportist Svoge vs Fratria: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportist Svoge vs Fratria?
Fratria starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportist Svoge have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Fratria have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Sportist Svoge win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Fratria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Sportist Svoge 0-3 Fratria | Second League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Fratria 2-1 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Fratria 2-0 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Sportist Svoge 0-1 Fratria | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Sportist Svoge vs Fratria on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportist Svoge | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Fratria | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportist Svoge sit 16th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Fratria sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fratria | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportist Svoge vs Fratria?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Sportist Svoge.
- Where and when is Sportist Svoge vs Fratria played?
- Sportist Svoge vs Fratria is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027NesebarvsLudogorets II
- May 15, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsVihren
- May 15, 2027MontanavsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- May 15, 2027DobrudzhavsSpartak Pleven
- May 15, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsBeroe
- May 15, 2027Yantra 2019vsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- May 15, 2027MarekvsHebar 1918
- May 15, 2027Rilski SportistvsCSKA Sofia II