Match

Sportist Svoge vs Fratria: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge

Sportist SvogeFratria

The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportist Svoge vs Fratria?

Fratria starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,541).

Sportist Svoge win23 %
Draw27 %
Fratria win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportist Svoge have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Fratria have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportist Svoge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Yantra 2019(away)0-1Second League
Aug 16, 2026Nesebar(home)0-1Second League
Aug 9, 2026Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)1-0Second League
Aug 2, 2026Dobrudzha(away)0-0Second League
Jul 25, 2026Montana(home)2-2Second League
Fratria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Beroe(home)2-0Second League
Aug 9, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)2-0Second League
Aug 1, 2026Rilski Sportist(home)1-0Second League
Jul 25, 2026Marek(home)0-1Second League
Jul 10, 2026Yantra 2019(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Sportist Svoge win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Fratria win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Sportist Svoge 0-3 FratriaSecond League
Aug 23, 2025Fratria 2-1 Sportist SvogeSecond League
Dec 8, 2024Fratria 2-0 Sportist SvogeSecond League
Jul 27, 2024Sportist Svoge 0-1 FratriaSecond League

Last archived meeting: Sportist Svoge vs Fratria on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportist Svoge0.71.163/154/15
Fratria1.70.868/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportist Svoge sit 16th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Fratria sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Fratria4301519
16Sportist Svoge5122345

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportist Svoge vs Fratria?
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Sportist Svoge.
Where and when is Sportist Svoge vs Fratria played?
Sportist Svoge vs Fratria is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sportist Svoge and Fratria

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