Vilanova vs Montañesa: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Associació dels Alumnes Obrers, Vilanova i la Geltrú
The Footlab AI model makes Vilanova the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Montañesa. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vilanova vs Montañesa?
On Elo ratings, Vilanova has 1,743 points and Montañesa 1,670.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vilanova vs Montañesa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vilanova
Not enough data to predict the Vilanova lineup.
Montañesa
Not enough data to predict the Montañesa lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilanova have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Montañesa have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Peralada(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mollerussa(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Martinenc(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Grama(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Vilanova win, 1 draw, 0 Montañesa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Vilanova 2-1 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Montañesa 0-0 Vilanova | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Vilanova vs Montañesa on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vilanova score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Montañesa score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilanova | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Montañesa | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vilanova sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (8 points from 4 matches) and Montañesa sit 3rd (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montañesa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Vilanova | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
A question about Vilanova vs Montañesa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vilanova vs Montañesa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vilanova the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Montañesa.
- Where and when is Vilanova vs Montañesa played?
- Vilanova vs Montañesa is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Associació dels Alumnes Obrers, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.