Montenegro vs Poland: result 1-2 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Europe1st Round - 5Kick-off on March 26, 2017 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Pod Goricom, Podgorica
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What was the result of Montenegro vs Poland?
Poland won 1-2 on March 26, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 40′R. LewandowskiPoland
- 63′S. MugošaMontenegro
- 82′Ł. PiszczekPoland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Montenegro have 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Poland have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2016 | Armenia(away) | 2-3 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 11, 2016 | Denmark(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Kazakhstan(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Romania(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2016 | Romania(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 11, 2016 | Armenia(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Denmark(home) | 3-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Kazakhstan(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 30, 2016 | Portugal(home) | 2-2 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Montenegro score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 4; Poland score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montenegro | 2.3 | 1.0 | 2 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| Poland | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montenegro sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification Europe (9 points from 8 matches) and Poland sit 2nd (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy