Monterrey vs Toluca: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - Semi-finalsKick-off on December 4, 2025 at 03:10 AM (UTC)Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
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What was the result of Monterrey vs Toluca?
Monterrey won 1-0 on December 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 39′G. BerterameMonterrey
Official lineup for Monterrey vs Toluca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Monterrey
4-2-3-1- 26Paulinho
- 11Helinho
- 8N. Castro
- 5F. Romero
- 14M. Ruiz
- 20J. Gallardo
- 25E. López
- 6F. Pereira
- 3A. Briseño
- 2D. Barbosa
- 1H. González
Toluca
5-3-2- 7G. Berterame
- 17J. Corona
- 10Sergio Canales
- 8Óliver Torres
- 5F. Ambríz
- 35Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
- 3G. Arteaga
- 93Sergio Ramos
- 33S. Medina
- 2R. Chávez
- 22L. Cárdenas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monterrey have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Toluca have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Club America(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Club America(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | FC Juarez(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 27, 2025 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Club America(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Atlas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 27, 2025 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Monterrey win, 2 draws, 3 Toluca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2025 | Toluca 6-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| May 11, 2025 | Toluca 2-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| May 8, 2025 | Monterrey 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Toluca 1-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Monterrey 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Monterrey 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Monterrey score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Toluca | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monterrey sit 10th in Liga MX (14 points from 10 matches) and Toluca sit 2nd (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Monterrey vs Toluca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy