Montpellier vs Metz: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 12Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier
The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Metz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montpellier wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montpellier vs Metz?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Montpellier (1,946) and Metz (1,874).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montpellier vs Metz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montpellier
4-2-3-1- 11M. Camara
- 18N. Pays
- 19N. Mukiele
- 5F. Tardieu
- 44T. Chennahi
- 40N. Vidal-Cartoux
- 15J. Laporte
- 17T. Sainte-Luce
- 27D. Meddah
- 58A. Sissoko
- 31S. Ngapandouetnbu
Metz
4-2-3-1- 11P. Fall
- 8J. Deminguet
- 9G. Abuashvili
- 18B. Munongo
- 10T. Savanier
- 12A. Touré
- 42C. Devenish
- 70B. Sarr
- 3F. Miguel
- 5J. Ruiz
- 1J. Fischer
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montpellier have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Metz have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PAU(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Annecy(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Montpellier wins, 1 draw, 1 Metz win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Metz 0-4 Montpellier | Coupe de France |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Montpellier 3-0 Metz | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Metz 0-1 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
| May 1, 2022 | Montpellier 2-2 Metz | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 1, 2021 | Metz 1-3 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Metz 1-0 Montpellier | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Montpellier score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Metz score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Metz | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montpellier sit 3rd in Ligue 2 (15 points from 8 matches) and Metz sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 10 | Metz | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
A question about Montpellier vs Metz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montpellier vs Metz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Metz.
- Where and when is Montpellier vs Metz played?
- Montpellier vs Metz is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.