Morecambe vs Marine: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mazuma Stadium, Morecambe, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Morecambe the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Marine. The most likely score is 1-1. If Morecambe wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Morecambe vs Marine?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Morecambe (1,777) and Marine (1,852).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Morecambe vs Marine
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Morecambe
Not enough data to predict the Morecambe lineup.
Marine
Not enough data to predict the Marine lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morecambe have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Marine have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southport(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Morecambe wins, 1 draw, 0 Marine wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Marine 1-1 Morecambe | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Morecambe score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morecambe | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Marine | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morecambe sit 17th in National League - North (14 points from 11 matches) and Marine sit 13th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Morecambe vs Marine?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Morecambe vs Marine?
- The Footlab AI model makes Morecambe the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Marine.
- Where and when is Morecambe vs Marine played?
- Morecambe vs Marine is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mazuma Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.