Hednesford Town vs Chorley: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Keys Park, Hednesford, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Hednesford Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hednesford Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,428 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hednesford Town vs Chorley?
On Elo ratings, Hednesford Town has 1,953 points and Chorley 1,887.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hednesford Town vs Chorley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hednesford Town
Not enough data to predict the Hednesford Town lineup.
Chorley
Not enough data to predict the Chorley lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 04:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hednesford Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chorley have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barton Town Old Boys(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Hednesford Town score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hednesford Town | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Chorley | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hednesford Town sit 7th in National League - North (18 points from 12 matches) and Chorley sit 10th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hednesford Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 18 |
| 10 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
A question about Hednesford Town vs Chorley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hednesford Town vs Chorley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hednesford Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Chorley.
- Where and when is Hednesford Town vs Chorley played?
- Hednesford Town vs Chorley is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Keys Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.