Southport vs Chester: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The BIG HELP Stadium, Southport, Merseyside
The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Southport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chester wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southport vs Chester?
Chester starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,713).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Southport vs Chester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Southport
Not enough data to predict the Southport lineup.
Chester
Not enough data to predict the Chester lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southport have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Chester have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Marine(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Southport wins, 2 draws, 2 Chester wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Chester 1-2 Southport | National League - North |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Southport 2-2 Chester | National League - North |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Southport 0-1 Chester | National League - North |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Chester 0-0 Southport | National League - North |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Chester 0-1 Southport | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Southport 0-2 Chester | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Southport score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chester score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southport | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Chester | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southport sit 23rd in National League - North (10 points from 14 matches) and Chester sit 9th (23 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chester | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 23 |
| 23 | Southport | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 25 | 10 |
A question about Southport vs Chester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southport vs Chester?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Southport.
- Where and when is Southport vs Chester played?
- Southport vs Chester is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.