Morton vs Ayr Utd: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 27, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cappielow Park, Greenock
Full time
What was the result of Morton vs Ayr Utd?
Morton and Ayr Utd drew 1-1 on December 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 25′A. DowdsAyr Utd
- 47′A. LyallMorton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morton have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Ayr Utd have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | ST Johnstone(away) | 0-5 | Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Airdrie United(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Stirling Albion(away) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Peterhead(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Dunfermline(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Dec 12, 2025 | ST Johnstone(home) | 2-4 | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Peterhead(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Partick(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Turriff United(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Morton win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ayr Utd 2-1 Morton | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Morton 2-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Morton 2-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Ayr Utd 0-0 Morton | Championship |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Ayr Utd 2-0 Morton | FA Cup |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Morton 1-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Morton score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morton | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morton sit 9th in Championship (0 points from 3 matches) and Ayr Utd sit 5th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ayr Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Morton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy