Where and when is Motril vs UD San Pedro played?

Motril vs UD San Pedro is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Escribano Castilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Motril vs UD San Pedro: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Escribano Castilla, Motril

Motril

UD San Pedro

The Footlab model makes Motril the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for UD San Pedro. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Motril vs UD San Pedro?

Motril starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,741).

Motril win55 %

Draw26 %

UD San Pedro win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motril have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; UD San Pedro have 5, 8 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Motril
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 7, 2026	Arenas Armilla(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 31, 2026	Arenas Armilla(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 24, 2026	Churriana Vega(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 17, 2026	Churriana Vega(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 10, 2026	Atlético Porcuna(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

UD San Pedro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Arenas Armilla(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Churriana Vega(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Torreperogil(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Atlético Porcuna(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026	Torre del Mar(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Motril win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 UD San Pedro win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 29, 2026	UD San Pedro 2-1 Motril	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 16, 2025	Motril 3-3 UD San Pedro	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 24, 2022	Motril 4-0 UD San Pedro	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 19, 2021	UD San Pedro 0-1 Motril	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: UD San Pedro vs Motril on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Motril score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; UD San Pedro score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Motril	1.2	0.8	6	8/15	6/15
UD San Pedro	1.1	0.9	6	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Motril sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (65 points from 34 matches) and UD San Pedro sit 8th (49 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Motril	34	18	11	5	55	29	65
8	UD San Pedro	34	13	10	11	39	37	49

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Motril vs UD San Pedro?: The Footlab model makes Motril the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for UD San Pedro.
Where and when is Motril vs UD San Pedro played?: Motril vs UD San Pedro is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Escribano Castilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.