Motril vs UD San Pedro: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Escribano Castilla, Motril
The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for UD San Pedro. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,338 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Motril vs UD San Pedro?
On Elo ratings, Motril has 1,807 points and UD San Pedro 1,715.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Motril vs UD San Pedro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Motril
Not enough data to predict the Motril lineup.
UD San Pedro
Not enough data to predict the UD San Pedro lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 12:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motril have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; UD San Pedro have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Almería II(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Málaga II(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marbelli(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Melilla(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Motril wins, 1 draw, 1 UD San Pedro win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Pedro 2-3 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | UD San Pedro 2-1 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Motril 3-3 UD San Pedro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Motril 4-0 UD San Pedro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 19, 2021 | UD San Pedro 0-1 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: UD San Pedro vs Motril on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Motril score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; UD San Pedro score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motril | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| UD San Pedro | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Motril sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (17 points from 10 matches) and UD San Pedro sit 9th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Motril | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 17 |
| 9 | UD San Pedro | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 15 |
A question about Motril vs UD San Pedro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Motril vs UD San Pedro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for UD San Pedro.
- Where and when is Motril vs UD San Pedro played?
- Motril vs UD San Pedro is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Escribano Castilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jan 31, 2027Mancha RealvsHuétor Vega
- Jan 31, 2027Arenas ArmillavsTorre del Mar
- Jan 31, 2027MarbellivsMalaga City
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