Arenas Armilla vs Torre del Mar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 · Matchday 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal, Armilla
The Footlab AI model makes Arenas Armilla the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Torre del Mar. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,490 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arenas Armilla vs Torre del Mar?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Arenas Armilla (1,803) and Torre del Mar (1,751).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arenas Armilla vs Torre del Mar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arenas Armilla
Not enough data to predict the Arenas Armilla lineup.
Torre del Mar
Not enough data to predict the Torre del Mar lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 01:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Armilla have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Torre del Mar have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Cantoria(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | UD San Pedro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alhaurino(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Malaga City(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Malaga City(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Arenas Armilla wins, 1 draw, 1 Torre del Mar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Torre del Mar 0-1 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 24, 2026 | Torre del Mar 0-1 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 17, 2026 | Arenas Armilla 1-0 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Torre del Mar 1-1 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Arenas Armilla 2-0 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Torre del Mar 3-0 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Torre del Mar vs Arenas Armilla on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arenas Armilla score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arenas Armilla | 1.6 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Torre del Mar | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arenas Armilla sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (22 points from 10 matches) and Torre del Mar sit 13th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arenas Armilla | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 22 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 12 |
A question about Arenas Armilla vs Torre del Mar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arenas Armilla vs Torre del Mar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arenas Armilla the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Torre del Mar.
- Where and when is Arenas Armilla vs Torre del Mar played?
- Arenas Armilla vs Torre del Mar is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.