Where and when is Marbelli vs Malaga City played?

Marbelli vs Malaga City is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marbelli vs Malaga City: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Pedro de Alcántara

Marbelli

Malaga City

The Footlab model makes Marbelli the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marbelli vs Malaga City?

Marbelli starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,777 vs 1,597).

Marbelli win57 %

Draw27 %

Malaga City win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbelli have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Malaga City have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marbelli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Granada II(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Huétor Vega(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Huétor Tájar(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 11, 2026	UD Melilla II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Malaga City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Arenas Armilla(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 4, 2025	Polideportivo Almería(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 1, 2025	Real Jaén(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 27, 2025	Mancha Real(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2025	Mijas Las Lagunas(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Marbelli win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Malaga City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 16, 2025	Malaga City 1-2 Marbelli	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 3, 2024	Marbelli 2-2 Malaga City	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Malaga City vs Marbelli on Mar 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Marbelli score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malaga City score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marbelli	0.9	0.7	7	6/15	4/15
Malaga City	1.0	2.0	0	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Marbelli	34	14	9	11	36	28	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marbelli vs Malaga City?: The Footlab model makes Marbelli the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Malaga City.
Where and when is Marbelli vs Malaga City played?: Marbelli vs Malaga City is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.