Marbelli vs Malaga City: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Pedro de Alcántara
The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marbelli vs Malaga City?
Marbelli starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (1,789 vs 1,560).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marbelli vs Malaga City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marbelli
Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.
Malaga City
4-3-3- JJuanfran
- RR. Gómez
- JJosu Ozkoidi
- ÓÓscar Puente
- FF. Irisarri
- AAndrés del RÃo
- 2Chechu
- RRaúl Fernández Ortega
- JJuanjo
- AAntonio Contreras Lozano
- FFernando Padilla
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbelli have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Malaga City have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Marbelli(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Melilla(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Motril(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Churriana Vega(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Marbelli wins, 1 draw, 0 Malaga City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malaga City 0-1 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Malaga City 1-2 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Marbelli 2-2 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Malaga City vs Marbelli on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marbelli score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malaga City score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbelli | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Malaga City | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marbelli sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (13 points from 6 matches) and Malaga City sit 18th (0 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Marbelli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 0 |
A question about Marbelli vs Malaga City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marbelli vs Malaga City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Malaga City.
- Where and when is Marbelli vs Malaga City played?
- Marbelli vs Malaga City is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 31, 2027MelillavsAlhaurino
- Jan 31, 2027Granada IIvsMálaga II
- Jan 31, 2027Almería IIvsCantoria
- Jan 31, 2027Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsAtletico de Marbella
- Jan 31, 2027Mancha RealvsHuétor Vega
- Jan 31, 2027MotrilvsUD San Pedro
- Jan 31, 2027Arenas ArmillavsTorre del Mar
- Jan 31, 2027Churriana VegavsAtlético Porcuna