Match

Melilla vs Alhaurino: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Álvarez Claro, Melilla

MelillaAlhaurino

The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 72%, against 20% for a draw and 8% for Alhaurino. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Melilla vs Alhaurino?

Melilla starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,822 vs 1,702).

72%20%8%
Melilla winDrawAlhaurino win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Melilla vs Alhaurino

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Melilla

4-3-3
  1. 10Víctor Morillo
  2. 21Carlos Bravo
  3. BB. Kavtaradze
  1. AAdrián Tovar
  2. 19Armando
  3. 19Iván Ramos
  1. 4Manuel Galán
  2. 3Fran Varela
  3. 3Lolo González
  4. DDiego Ceballos
  1. EEdua Loscos

Alhaurino

4-3-3
  1. AAlejandro Guerrero Martín
  2. II. Ndiaye
  3. DDiogo Rodrigues de Sousa
  1. MMiguel Ángel Lupiáñez Gómez
  2. VVíctor Rueda Pérez
  3. MManuel González Mora
  1. DDavid Sánchez Molina
  2. RRaúl Fernández Ortega
  3. FFran Moreno
  4. AAlejandro Jiménez Rios
  1. JJosé Manuel Pérez García

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:20 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melilla have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Alhaurino have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Melilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Atlético Porcuna(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026UD San Pedro(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Alhaurino(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Malaga City(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Torre del Mar(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Arenas Armilla(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 10, 2026Marbelli(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Melilla(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Motril(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Churriana Vega(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 1 Melilla win, 0 draws, 0 Alhaurino wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Alhaurino 1-2 MelillaTercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Alhaurino vs Melilla on Oct 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Melilla score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Melilla1.61.147/158/15
Alhaurino1.20.965/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Melilla sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (18 points from 7 matches) and Alhaurino sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Melilla760113518
12Alhaurino7223798

A question about Melilla vs Alhaurino?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Melilla vs Alhaurino?
The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 72%, against 20% for a draw and 8% for Alhaurino.
Where and when is Melilla vs Alhaurino played?
Melilla vs Alhaurino is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Álvarez Claro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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