Where and when is Mancha Real vs Huétor Vega played?

Mancha Real vs Huétor Vega is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mancha Real vs Huétor Vega: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, Mancha Real

Mancha Real

Huétor Vega

The Footlab model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Huétor Vega. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mancha Real vs Huétor Vega?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Mancha Real (1,694) and Huétor Vega (1,759).

Mancha Real win39 %

Draw30 %

Huétor Vega win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mancha Real have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Huétor Vega have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mancha Real
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Alhaurino(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Granada II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Huétor Vega(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 11, 2026	Huétor Tájar(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Huétor Vega
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Martos(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Mijas Las Lagunas(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Marbelli(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Mancha Real(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026	Arenas Armilla(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mancha Real win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Huétor Vega win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Mancha Real 2-1 Huétor Vega	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 14, 2025	Huétor Vega 1-0 Mancha Real	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Feb 16, 2025	Mancha Real 1-2 Huétor Vega	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 6, 2024	Huétor Vega 1-0 Mancha Real	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Mar 10, 2024	Huétor Vega 3-1 Mancha Real	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 29, 2023	Mancha Real 0-2 Huétor Vega	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Mancha Real vs Huétor Vega on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mancha Real score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Huétor Vega score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mancha Real	1.0	1.0	6	6/15	6/15
Huétor Vega	1.5	1.3	2	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mancha Real sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (37 points from 34 matches) and Huétor Vega sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Huétor Vega	34	12	9	13	43	42	45
14	Mancha Real	34	9	10	15	30	38	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mancha Real vs Huétor Vega?: The Footlab model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Huétor Vega.
Where and when is Mancha Real vs Huétor Vega played?: Mancha Real vs Huétor Vega is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.