Mancha Real vs Huétor Vega: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, Mancha Real
The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Huétor Vega. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mancha Real wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mancha Real vs Huétor Vega?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Mancha Real (1,658) and Huétor Vega (1,743).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mancha Real vs Huétor Vega
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mancha Real
Not enough data to predict the Mancha Real lineup.
Huétor Vega
Not enough data to predict the Huétor Vega lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mancha Real have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Huétor Vega have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mancha Real win, 0 draws, 5 Huétor Vega wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Huétor Vega 3-0 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mancha Real 2-1 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Huétor Vega 1-0 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Mancha Real 1-2 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Huétor Vega 1-0 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Huétor Vega 3-1 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Huétor Vega vs Mancha Real on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mancha Real score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Huétor Vega score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mancha Real | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Huétor Vega | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mancha Real sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (6 points from 9 matches) and Huétor Vega sit 12th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Huétor Vega | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 16 | Mancha Real | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Mancha Real vs Huétor Vega?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mancha Real vs Huétor Vega?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Huétor Vega.
- Where and when is Mancha Real vs Huétor Vega played?
- Mancha Real vs Huétor Vega is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 31, 2027MelillavsAlhaurino
- Jan 31, 2027Granada IIvsMálaga II
- Jan 31, 2027Almería IIvsCantoria
- Jan 31, 2027Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsAtletico de Marbella
- Jan 31, 2027MotrilvsUD San Pedro
- Jan 31, 2027Arenas ArmillavsTorre del Mar
- Jan 31, 2027MarbellivsMalaga City
- Jan 31, 2027Churriana VegavsAtlético Porcuna