MP vs KäPa: result 2-1 and analysis
YkkösliigaGroup StageKick-off on July 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Mikkelin Urheilupuisto, Mikkeli
Full time
What was the result of MP vs KäPa?
MP won 2-1 on July 29, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′M. KuningasKäPa
- 22′A. TervaniemiMP
- 45′S. ObiohaMP
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a MP win at 41%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1 — actual score: 2-1.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MP have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; KäPa have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kooteepee(home) | 3-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 15, 2026 | JIPPO(away) | 1-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 11, 2026 | SJK Akatemia(away) | 1-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Haka(home) | 2-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jun 26, 2026 | PK-35(away) | 1-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Haka(away) | 1-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Klubi-04(home) | 0-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 17, 2026 | SJK Akatemia(home) | 2-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 10, 2026 | PK-35(away) | 1-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jun 28, 2026 | JäPS(home) | 3-1 | Ykkösliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 MP win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 KäPa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | MP 0-1 KäPa | Ykkösliiga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | KäPa 3-2 MP | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 11, 2024 | MP 2-6 KäPa | Ykkösliiga |
| May 12, 2024 | KäPa 4-0 MP | Ykkösliiga |
| Jun 28, 2023 | MP 6-2 KäPa | Ykkönen |
| Apr 16, 2023 | KäPa 2-0 MP | Ykkönen |
How many goals should we expect?
MP score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; KäPa score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MP | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| KäPa | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MP sit 7th in Ykkösliiga (21 points from 19 matches) and KäPa sit 8th (16 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | MP | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 21 |
| 7 | MP | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 21 |
| 8 | KäPa | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 35 | 16 |
| 8 | KäPa | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 35 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy