Match

Muang Loei United vs Satun: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Loei Rjabhat University Stadium, Loei

Muang Loei UnitedSatun

The Footlab model makes Muang Loei United the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Satun. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Muang Loei United vs Satun?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Muang Loei United (1,466) and Satun (1,421).

Muang Loei United win49 %
Draw26 %
Satun win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muang Loei United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Satun have 3, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Muang Loei United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 29, 2025Sukhothai FC(away)0-4FA Cup
Nov 20, 2024Romklao United(away)2-0FA Cup
Sep 11, 2024Police Tero(home)1-1FA Cup
Sep 7, 2024Roi Et(away)0-1League Cup
Oct 4, 2023Nakhon Si City(away)0-0FA Cup
Satun
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Dec 28, 2025Lamphun Warrior(home)0-2League Cup
Sep 1, 2024Muang Trang United(home)1-1League Cup
Mar 13, 2024Muangthong United(home)1-3League Cup
Dec 6, 2023Nakhon Pathom(home)2-0League Cup
Oct 25, 2023Kanchanaburi(home)2-1League Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Muang Loei United score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Muang Loei United1.41.357/157/15
Satun1.71.223/63/6

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Muang Loei United vs Satun?
The Footlab model makes Muang Loei United the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Satun.
Where and when is Muang Loei United vs Satun played?
Muang Loei United vs Satun is played on November 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Loei Rjabhat University Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Muang Loei United and Satun

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