Naft vs Al Talaba: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Madina International Stadium, Baghdad
The Footlab model makes Al Talaba the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Naft. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naft vs Al Talaba?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Naft (1,530) and Al Talaba (1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naft have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Al Talaba have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Newroz(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 27, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 19, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Duhok(away) | 3-3 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 19, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Naft win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Al Talaba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Al Talaba 0-0 Naft | Iraqi League |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Naft 0-0 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Al Talaba 1-0 Naft | Iraqi League |
| Jul 10, 2024 | Al Talaba 0-0 Naft | Iraqi League |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Naft 2-1 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
| May 12, 2023 | Al Talaba 1-2 Naft | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Naft score 0.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Talaba score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft | 0.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Al Talaba | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naft sit 2nd in Iraqi League (4 points from 2 matches) and Al Talaba sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Naft | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Talaba | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naft vs Al Talaba?
- The Footlab model makes Al Talaba the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Naft.
- Where and when is Naft vs Al Talaba played?
- Naft vs Al Talaba is played on April 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Madina International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.