Diyala vs Karbala: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al Ba'quba Stadium, Ba'quba
The Footlab AI model makes Diyala the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Karbala. The most likely score is 1-1. If Diyala wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diyala vs Karbala?
Diyala starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,476 vs 1,341).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Diyala vs Karbala
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Diyala
Not enough data to predict the Diyala lineup.
Karbala
Not enough data to predict the Karbala lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diyala have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Karbala have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Naft(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 3-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Naft(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Diyala win, 1 draw, 0 Karbala wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | Diyala 1-0 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Karbala 2-2 Diyala | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Diyala score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Karbala score 0.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diyala | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Karbala | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Diyala sit 11th in Iraqi League (9 points from 9 matches) and Karbala sit 20th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Diyala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 9 |
| 20 | Karbala | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Diyala vs Karbala?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diyala vs Karbala?
- The Footlab AI model makes Diyala the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Karbala.
- Where and when is Diyala vs Karbala played?
- Diyala vs Karbala is played on April 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al Ba'quba Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.