Al-Karma vs Gharraf: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al Ramadi Stadium, Ar Ramādī (Ramadi)
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Gharraf. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Karma vs Gharraf?
Al-Karma starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (1,667 vs 1,442).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Karma vs Gharraf
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Karma
Not enough data to predict the Al-Karma lineup.
Gharraf
Not enough data to predict the Gharraf lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Karma have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Gharraf have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Naft(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 1-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Al Shorta(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Al-Karma wins, 0 draws, 0 Gharraf wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Al-Karma 3-0 Gharraf | Iraqi League |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Gharraf 0-1 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Karma score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gharraf score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Karma | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Gharraf | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Karma sit 1st in Iraqi League (20 points from 8 matches) and Gharraf sit 19th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
| 19 | Gharraf | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Al-Karma vs Gharraf?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Karma vs Gharraf?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Gharraf.
- Where and when is Al-Karma vs Gharraf played?
- Al-Karma vs Gharraf is played on April 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al Ramadi Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.