Naft Maysan vs Al Minaa Basra: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Maysan International Stadium, Al Amarah
The Footlab AI model makes Naft Maysan the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Al Minaa Basra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Naft Maysan wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naft Maysan vs Al Minaa Basra?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Naft Maysan (1,505) and Al Minaa Basra (1,515).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naft Maysan vs Al Minaa Basra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naft Maysan
Not enough data to predict the Naft Maysan lineup.
Al Minaa Basra
Not enough data to predict the Al Minaa Basra lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naft Maysan have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Al Minaa Basra have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Al-Karma(away) | 1-4 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Newroz(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Naft Maysan wins, 1 draw, 3 Al Minaa Basra wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra 1-1 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra 0-1 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Naft Maysan 1-3 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Naft Maysan 2-0 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Jan 2, 2025 | Al Minaa Basra 1-0 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Jun 27, 2024 | Al Minaa Basra 3-0 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan on Sep 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naft Maysan score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Al Minaa Basra score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft Maysan | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Al Minaa Basra | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naft Maysan sit 19th in Iraqi League (9 points from 12 matches) and Al Minaa Basra sit 9th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al Minaa Basra | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 17 |
| 19 | Naft Maysan | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 9 |
A question about Naft Maysan vs Al Minaa Basra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naft Maysan vs Al Minaa Basra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Naft Maysan the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Al Minaa Basra.
- Where and when is Naft Maysan vs Al Minaa Basra played?
- Naft Maysan vs Al Minaa Basra is played on April 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Maysan International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.