Gainare Tottori vs Parceiro Nagano: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori
The Footlab model makes Gainare Tottori the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gainare Tottori vs Parceiro Nagano?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Gainare Tottori (1,692) and Parceiro Nagano (1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainare Tottori have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Parceiro Nagano have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 0-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fukui United(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(away) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gainare Tottori win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Parceiro Nagano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Gainare Tottori 2-0 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Gainare Tottori 2-0 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Parceiro Nagano 0-2 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Gainare Tottori 2-3 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Parceiro Nagano 2-2 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Parceiro Nagano vs Gainare Tottori on Sep 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Gainare Tottori score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Parceiro Nagano score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainare Tottori | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Parceiro Nagano | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gainare Tottori sit 10th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Parceiro Nagano sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gainare Tottori vs Parceiro Nagano?
- The Footlab model makes Gainare Tottori the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Parceiro Nagano.
- Where and when is Gainare Tottori vs Parceiro Nagano played?
- Gainare Tottori vs Parceiro Nagano is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Axis Bird Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 21, 2026Matsumoto YamagavsFC Ryukyu
- Nov 21, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsBiwako Shiga
- Nov 21, 2026Roasso KumamotovsKitakyushu
- Nov 21, 2026Ehime FCvsFC Gifu
- Nov 21, 2026Thespakusatsu GunmavsTochigi SC
- Nov 21, 2026Kochi UnitedvsFukushima United
- Nov 21, 2026Nara ClubvsSagamihara