Match

Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)

Nanjing CityGuangxi Hengchen

The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Nanjing City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Guangxi Hengchen starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,514 vs 1,316).

Nanjing City win20 %
Draw23 %
Guangxi Hengchen win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nanjing City have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Guangxi Hengchen have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nanjing City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Shenzhen Juniors(away)1-3League One
Aug 16, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home)1-1League One
Aug 8, 2026Nantong Zhiyun(home)1-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Yanbian Longding(away)1-1League One
Jul 25, 2026Changchun Yatai(away)1-2League One
Guangxi Hengchen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Suzhou Dongwu(home)3-3League One
Aug 15, 2026Meizhou Kejia(home)1-0League One
Aug 9, 2026Guangzhou E-Power(away)0-2League One
Aug 1, 2026Ningbo Professional(away)4-2League One
Jul 26, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home)4-4League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Nanjing City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Guangxi Hengchen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Guangxi Hengchen 1-0 Nanjing CityLeague One

Last archived meeting: Guangxi Hengchen vs Nanjing City on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nanjing City score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Guangxi Hengchen score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nanjing City1.01.239/155/15
Guangxi Hengchen2.11.558/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nanjing City sit 12th in League One (21 points from 20 matches) and Guangxi Hengchen sit 5th (33 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Guangxi Hengchen19964342433
12Nanjing City20569192421

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen?
The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Nanjing City.
Where and when is Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen played?
Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC), in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nanjing City and Guangxi Hengchen

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