Where and when is Dongguan United vs Shenzhen Juniors played?

Dongguan United vs Shenzhen Juniors is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC), in the League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Dongguan United vs Shenzhen Juniors: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)

Dongguan United

Shenzhen Juniors

The Footlab model makes Shenzhen Juniors the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Dongguan United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dongguan United vs Shenzhen Juniors?

Shenzhen Juniors starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,395 vs 1,221).

Dongguan United win17 %

Draw21 %

Shenzhen Juniors win61 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dongguan United have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Shenzhen Juniors have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dongguan United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Changchun Yatai(away)	0-6	League One
Aug 16, 2026	Hebei Kungfu(home)	1-2	League One
Aug 8, 2026	Meizhou Kejia(away)	2-3	League One
Aug 1, 2026	Guangzhou E-Power(away)	1-1	League One
Jul 25, 2026	Wuxi Wugou(home)	0-2	League One

Shenzhen Juniors
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Nanjing City(home)	3-1	League One
Aug 16, 2026	Ningbo Professional(home)	0-0	League One
Aug 9, 2026	Yanbian Longding(away)	1-0	League One
Aug 2, 2026	Wuxi Wugou(home)	1-0	League One
Jul 25, 2026	Shaanxi Union(away)	0-3	League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Dongguan United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Shenzhen Juniors win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Shenzhen Juniors 0-3 Dongguan United	League One
Jul 12, 2025	Dongguan United 2-1 Shenzhen Juniors	League One
Mar 16, 2025	Shenzhen Juniors 2-1 Dongguan United	League One

Last archived meeting: Shenzhen Juniors vs Dongguan United on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dongguan United score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Shenzhen Juniors score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Dongguan United	0.9	2.3	0	9/15	8/15
Shenzhen Juniors	1.4	1.1	9	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dongguan United sit 16th in League One (11 points from 20 matches) and Shenzhen Juniors sit 2nd (36 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Shenzhen Juniors	20	10	6	4	31	22	36
16	Dongguan United	20	2	5	13	20	43	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dongguan United vs Shenzhen Juniors?: The Footlab model makes Shenzhen Juniors the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Dongguan United.
Where and when is Dongguan United vs Shenzhen Juniors played?: Dongguan United vs Shenzhen Juniors is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC), in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.