Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Weinan Sports Center Stadium, Weinan
The Footlab model makes Yanbian Longding the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Shaanxi Union. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Shaanxi Union (1,413) and Yanbian Longding (1,461).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shaanxi Union have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Yanbian Longding have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nantong Zhiyun(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Changchun Yatai(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hebei Kungfu(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dalian Huayi(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shenzhen Juniors(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ningbo Professional(away) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalian Huayi(home) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shenzhen Juniors(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nanjing City(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Meizhou Kejia(home) | 2-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Shaanxi Union win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Yanbian Longding win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Yanbian Longding 0-0 Shaanxi Union | League One |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Shaanxi Union 0-1 Yanbian Longding | League One |
| May 11, 2025 | Yanbian Longding 2-0 Shaanxi Union | League One |
Last archived meeting: Yanbian Longding vs Shaanxi Union on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shaanxi Union score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yanbian Longding score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaanxi Union | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Yanbian Longding | 1.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shaanxi Union sit 6th in League One (26 points from 19 matches) and Yanbian Longding sit 3rd (35 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Yanbian Longding | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 35 |
| 6 | Shaanxi Union | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding?
- The Footlab model makes Yanbian Longding the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Shaanxi Union.
- Where and when is Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding played?
- Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Weinan Sports Center Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Hebei KungfuvsWuxi Wugou
- Aug 29, 2026Nanjing CityvsGuangxi Hengchen
- Aug 29, 2026Dongguan UnitedvsShenzhen Juniors
- Aug 29, 2026Heilongjiang Lava SpringvsSuzhou Dongwu
- Aug 30, 2026Dalian HuayivsNantong Zhiyun
- Aug 30, 2026Ningbo ProfessionalvsMeizhou Kejia
- Aug 30, 2026Guangzhou E-PowervsChangchun Yatai