Match

Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Weinan Sports Center Stadium, Weinan

Shaanxi UnionYanbian Longding

The Footlab model makes Yanbian Longding the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Shaanxi Union. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Shaanxi Union (1,413) and Yanbian Longding (1,461).

Shaanxi Union win35 %
Draw28 %
Yanbian Longding win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shaanxi Union have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Yanbian Longding have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shaanxi Union
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Nantong Zhiyun(away)1-4League One
Aug 14, 2026Changchun Yatai(home)2-1League One
Aug 8, 2026Hebei Kungfu(away)1-2League One
Aug 1, 2026Dalian Huayi(away)2-2League One
Jul 25, 2026Shenzhen Juniors(home)3-0League One
Yanbian Longding
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ningbo Professional(away)3-2League One
Aug 15, 2026Dalian Huayi(home)3-1League One
Aug 9, 2026Shenzhen Juniors(home)0-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Nanjing City(home)1-1League One
Jul 26, 2026Meizhou Kejia(home)2-1League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Shaanxi Union win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Yanbian Longding win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Yanbian Longding 0-0 Shaanxi UnionLeague One
Sep 20, 2025Shaanxi Union 0-1 Yanbian LongdingLeague One
May 11, 2025Yanbian Longding 2-0 Shaanxi UnionLeague One

Last archived meeting: Yanbian Longding vs Shaanxi Union on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Shaanxi Union score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yanbian Longding score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Shaanxi Union1.81.357/1511/15
Yanbian Longding1.71.139/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Shaanxi Union sit 6th in League One (26 points from 19 matches) and Yanbian Longding sit 3rd (35 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Yanbian Longding20983301835
6Shaanxi Union19757282126

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding?
The Footlab model makes Yanbian Longding the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Shaanxi Union.
Where and when is Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding played?
Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Weinan Sports Center Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Shaanxi Union and Yanbian Longding

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