Jarosław vs Wisła Kraków II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion JKS-u, Jarosław
The Footlab model makes Jarosław the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Wisła Kraków II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jarosław vs Wisła Kraków II?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Jarosław (1,749) and Wisła Kraków II (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Jarosław have 7 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Wisła Kraków II have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Star Starachowice(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Jarosław score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 13; Wisła Kraków II score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarosław | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/13 | 11/13 |
| Wisła Kraków II | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jarosław sit 6th in III Liga - Group 4 (7 points from 5 matches) and Wisła Kraków II sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wisła Kraków II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Jarosław | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jarosław vs Wisła Kraków II?
- The Footlab model makes Jarosław the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Wisła Kraków II.
- Where and when is Jarosław vs Wisła Kraków II played?
- Jarosław vs Wisła Kraków II is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion JKS-u, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Siarka TarnobrzegvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- May 1, 2027Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsKorona Kielce II
- May 1, 2027Wisłoka DębicavsMoravia Morawica
- May 1, 2027Czarni PołaniecvsHetman Zamosc
- May 1, 2027Star StarachowicevsChełmianka Chełm
- May 1, 2027Sokół Kolb.vsNaprzód
- May 1, 2027KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- May 1, 2027Busko-ZdrojvsKSZO 1929