Match

Jarosław vs Wisła Kraków II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion JKS-u, Jarosław

JarosławWisła Kraków II

The Footlab model makes Jarosław the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Wisła Kraków II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jarosław vs Wisła Kraków II?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Jarosław (1,749) and Wisła Kraków II (1,803).

Jarosław win38 %
Draw25 %
Wisła Kraków II win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Jarosław have 7 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Wisła Kraków II have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jarosław
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away)3-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wisłoka Dębica(away)1-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Sokół Kolb.(home)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Wisła Kraków II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Moravia Morawica(home)1-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Korona Kielce II(away)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Star Starachowice(home)4-2III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Jarosław score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 13; Wisła Kraków II score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Jarosław2.21.7111/1311/13
Wisła Kraków II1.91.4311/1510/15

Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jarosław sit 6th in III Liga - Group 4 (7 points from 5 matches) and Wisła Kraków II sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Wisła Kraków II53119610
6Jarosław5212987

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jarosław vs Wisła Kraków II?
The Footlab model makes Jarosław the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Wisła Kraków II.
Where and when is Jarosław vs Wisła Kraków II played?
Jarosław vs Wisła Kraków II is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion JKS-u, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Jarosław and Wisła Kraków II

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