Match

Nardo vs Herd: prediction and stats

3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Phonereparatøren Arena, Trondheim

NardoHerd

The Footlab AI model makes Nardo the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for Herd. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nardo vs Herd?

On Elo ratings, Nardo has 1,632 points and Herd 1,557.

62%18%20%
Nardo winDrawHerd win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nardo vs Herd

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nardo

Not enough data to predict the Nardo lineup.

Herd

Not enough data to predict the Herd lineup.

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:07 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nardo have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Herd have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nardo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Byåsen(away)3-13. Division - Girone 2
Oct 3, 2026Strindheim(home)0-13. Division - Girone 2
Sep 26, 2026NTNUI(away)5-23. Division - Girone 2
Sep 21, 2026Ranheim II(home)4-13. Division - Girone 2
Sep 13, 2026Rosenborg II(away)5-23. Division - Girone 2
Herd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Spjelkavik(home)2-13. Division - Girone 2
Oct 2, 2026Molde II(away)2-63. Division - Girone 2
Sep 26, 2026Kvik Trondheim(home)0-03. Division - Girone 2
Sep 19, 2026Byåsen(away)1-63. Division - Girone 2
Sep 12, 2026Orkla(home)2-23. Division - Girone 2

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Nardo wins, 0 draws, 1 Herd win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 13, 2026Herd 4-1 Nardo3. Division - Girone 2

Last archived meeting: Herd vs Nardo on Jun 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nardo score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Herd score 2.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nardo2.32.1211/1511/15
Herd2.12.2210/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nardo sit 8th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (29 points from 22 matches) and Herd sit 6th (32 points from 23 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Herd23959494532
8Nardo229211504729

A question about Nardo vs Herd?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nardo vs Herd?
The Footlab AI model makes Nardo the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for Herd.
Where and when is Nardo vs Herd played?
Nardo vs Herd is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Phonereparatøren Arena, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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