Nart Cherkessk vs Dynamo Makhachkala II: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nart, Cherkessk
The Footlab model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 81%, against 14% for a draw and 5% for Dynamo Makhachkala II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nart Cherkessk vs Dynamo Makhachkala II?
Nart Cherkessk is a heavy favourite: 1,722 Elo points against 1,377, a 344-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nart Cherkessk have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Dynamo Makhachkala II have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyzyltash(away) | 4-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lugansk(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rostov II(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Nart Cherkessk win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Dynamo Makhachkala II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II 1-0 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Dynamo Makhachkala II 0-4 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 24, 2025 | Nart Cherkessk 3-0 Dynamo Makhachkala II | Second League - Group 1 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Dynamo Makhachkala II 1-3 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Nart Cherkessk 0-2 Dynamo Makhachkala II | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Makhachkala II vs Nart Cherkessk on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nart Cherkessk score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Makhachkala II score 0.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nart Cherkessk | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala II | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nart Cherkessk sit 7th in Second League - Group 1 (28 points from 19 matches) and Dynamo Makhachkala II sit 15th (13 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nart Cherkessk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 16 | 28 |
| 15 | Dynamo Makhachkala II | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 35 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nart Cherkessk vs Dynamo Makhachkala II?
- The Footlab model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 81%, against 14% for a draw and 5% for Dynamo Makhachkala II.
- Where and when is Nart Cherkessk vs Dynamo Makhachkala II played?
- Nart Cherkessk vs Dynamo Makhachkala II is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nart, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.