Angust Nazran vs Pobeda: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Central'nyj im. Rashida Ausheva, Nazran'
The Footlab model makes Pobeda the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Angust Nazran. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Angust Nazran vs Pobeda?
Pobeda starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,675 vs 1,551).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Angust Nazran have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Pobeda have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sevastopol(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rostov II(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Druzhba(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lugansk(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lugansk(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sevastopol(home) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(home) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Angust Nazran win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Pobeda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Pobeda 0-1 Angust Nazran | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Angust Nazran 0-1 Pobeda | Second League - Group 1 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Pobeda 2-0 Angust Nazran | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Angust Nazran 0-2 Pobeda | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Pobeda 1-0 Angust Nazran | Cup |
| May 4, 2024 | Pobeda 0-0 Angust Nazran | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Pobeda vs Angust Nazran on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Angust Nazran score 0.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pobeda score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angust Nazran | 0.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Pobeda | 2.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Angust Nazran sit 14th in Second League - Group 1 (16 points from 19 matches) and Pobeda sit 6th (30 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pobeda | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 22 | 30 |
| 14 | Angust Nazran | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Angust Nazran vs Pobeda?
- The Footlab model makes Pobeda the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Angust Nazran.
- Where and when is Angust Nazran vs Pobeda played?
- Angust Nazran vs Pobeda is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Central'nyj im. Rashida Ausheva, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.