Rubin Yalta vs FK Chayka 2: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Avanhard, Yalta
The Footlab model makes Rubin Yalta the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for FK Chayka 2. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rubin Yalta vs FK Chayka 2?
Rubin Yalta starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,676 vs 1,549).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rubin Yalta have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; FK Chayka 2 have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Izberbash(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Angust Nazran(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Druzhba(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pobeda(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Astrakhan(away) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Rubin Yalta win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 FK Chayka 2 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | FK Chayka 2 0-1 Rubin Yalta | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: FK Chayka 2 vs Rubin Yalta on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rubin Yalta score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FK Chayka 2 score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin Yalta | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| FK Chayka 2 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rubin Yalta sit 4th in Second League - Group 1 (31 points from 20 matches) and FK Chayka 2 sit 16th (11 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rubin Yalta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 31 |
| 16 | FK Chayka 2 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 43 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rubin Yalta vs FK Chayka 2?
- The Footlab model makes Rubin Yalta the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for FK Chayka 2.
- Where and when is Rubin Yalta vs FK Chayka 2 played?
- Rubin Yalta vs FK Chayka 2 is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Avanhard, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.