Nart Cherkessk vs Rostov II: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nart, Cherkessk
The Footlab model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Rostov II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nart Cherkessk vs Rostov II?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Nart Cherkessk (1,722) and Rostov II (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nart Cherkessk have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Rostov II have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Astrakhan(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Angust Nazran(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Izberbash(home) | 5-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nart Cherkessk win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Rostov II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Rostov II 0-1 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Rostov II 0-1 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Nart Cherkessk 3-1 Rostov II | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Rostov II 1-0 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | Nart Cherkessk 1-2 Rostov II | Second League - Group 1 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Nart Cherkessk 1-0 Rostov II | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Rostov II vs Nart Cherkessk on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nart Cherkessk score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rostov II score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nart Cherkessk | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Rostov II | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nart Cherkessk sit 7th in Second League - Group 1 (28 points from 19 matches) and Rostov II sit 3rd (40 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rostov II | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 16 | 40 |
| 7 | Nart Cherkessk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 16 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nart Cherkessk vs Rostov II?
- The Footlab model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Rostov II.
- Where and when is Nart Cherkessk vs Rostov II played?
- Nart Cherkessk vs Rostov II is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nart, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.