Druzhba vs Lugansk: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Adygeyskiy Respublikanskiy Stadion Druzhba, Maykop
The Footlab AI model makes Druzhba the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Lugansk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Druzhba wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Druzhba vs Lugansk?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Druzhba (1,690) and Lugansk (1,658).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Druzhba vs Lugansk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Druzhba
Not enough data to predict the Druzhba lineup.
Lugansk
Not enough data to predict the Lugansk lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Druzhba have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Lugansk have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rostov II(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Izberbash(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(away) | 5-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rostov II(away) | 5-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Druzhba wins, 1 draw, 0 Lugansk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lugansk 1-1 Druzhba | Second League - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Druzhba score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lugansk score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Druzhba | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Lugansk | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Druzhba sit 9th in Second League - Group 1 (27 points from 20 matches) and Lugansk sit 10th (24 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Druzhba | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 25 | 27 |
| 10 | Lugansk | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 24 |
A question about Druzhba vs Lugansk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Druzhba vs Lugansk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Druzhba the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Lugansk.
- Where and when is Druzhba vs Lugansk played?
- Druzhba vs Lugansk is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Adygeyskiy Respublikanskiy Stadion Druzhba, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.