Spartak Nalchik vs FK Chayka 2: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Nal'chik
The Footlab model makes Spartak Nalchik the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for FK Chayka 2. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Nalchik vs FK Chayka 2?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Spartak Nalchik (1,631) and FK Chayka 2 (1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Nalchik have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; FK Chayka 2 have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lugansk(away) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(home) | 3-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rostov II(home) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kyzyltash(away) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Druzhba(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pobeda(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Astrakhan(away) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Spartak Nalchik win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FK Chayka 2 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | FK Chayka 2 1-1 Spartak Nalchik | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: FK Chayka 2 vs Spartak Nalchik on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Nalchik score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FK Chayka 2 score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Nalchik | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| FK Chayka 2 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Nalchik sit 8th in Second League - Group 1 (28 points from 18 matches) and FK Chayka 2 sit 16th (11 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spartak Nalchik | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | FK Chayka 2 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 43 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Nalchik vs FK Chayka 2?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Nalchik the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for FK Chayka 2.
- Where and when is Spartak Nalchik vs FK Chayka 2 played?
- Spartak Nalchik vs FK Chayka 2 is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.