Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee
The Footlab model makes Nashville SC the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for New York Red Bulls. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls?
Nashville SC starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nashville SC have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; New York Red Bulls have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Columbus Crew(home) | 3-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | New York Red Bulls(away) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inter Miami(home) | 4-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Monterrey(away) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 4-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chicago Fire(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nashville SC(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlanta United FC(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Orlando City SC(home) | 3-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Charlotte(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nashville SC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 New York Red Bulls win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | New York Red Bulls 0-1 Nashville SC | Major League Soccer |
| May 15, 2025 | Nashville SC 2-1 New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 2, 2025 | New York Red Bulls 2-0 Nashville SC | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 15, 2024 | New York Red Bulls 0-0 Nashville SC | Major League Soccer |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Nashville SC 0-0 New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Nashville SC 0-1 New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nashville SC score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; New York Red Bulls score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| New York Red Bulls | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nashville SC sit 1st in Major League Soccer (49 points from 21 matches) and New York Red Bulls sit 8th (26 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 17 | 49 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 43 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls?
- The Footlab model makes Nashville SC the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for New York Red Bulls.
- Where and when is Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls played?
- Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at GEODIS Park, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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