Nazarenos vs Fátima: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 18Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Fátima the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Nazarenos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fátima wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nazarenos vs Fátima?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Nazarenos (1,788) and Fátima (1,845).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nazarenos vs Fátima
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nazarenos
Not enough data to predict the Nazarenos lineup.
Fátima
Not enough data to predict the Fátima lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Nazarenos have 2 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Fátima have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Os Marialvas(home) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(home) | 0-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | O Elvas(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nazarenos(home) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Os Marialvas(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Nazarenos win, 0 draws, 0 Fátima wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fátima 1-3 Nazarenos | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Nazarenos score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 8; Fátima score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nazarenos | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 2/8 | 5/8 |
| Fátima | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nazarenos sit 14th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (0 points from 4 matches) and Fátima sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fátima | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Nazarenos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
A question about Nazarenos vs Fátima?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nazarenos vs Fátima?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fátima the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Nazarenos.
- Where and when is Nazarenos vs Fátima played?
- Nazarenos vs Fátima is played on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.