UD da Serra vs O Elvas: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 18Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo da Portela, Santa Catarina da Serra
The Footlab AI model makes UD da Serra the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for O Elvas. The most likely score is 1-1. If UD da Serra wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UD da Serra vs O Elvas?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates UD da Serra (1,896) and O Elvas (1,897).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UD da Serra vs O Elvas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UD da Serra
Not enough data to predict the UD da Serra lineup.
O Elvas
Not enough data to predict the O Elvas lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD da Serra have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; O Elvas have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | O Elvas(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amora(away) | 4-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mortágua(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Uniao de Pombal(home) | 5-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD da Serra(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sertanense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fazendense(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | São Roque (Açores)(home) | 9-0 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 UD da Serra win, 0 draws, 0 O Elvas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | O Elvas 1-2 UD da Serra | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
Last archived meeting: O Elvas vs UD da Serra on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UD da Serra score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; O Elvas score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD da Serra | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| O Elvas | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UD da Serra sit 5th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (8 points from 4 matches) and O Elvas sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | O Elvas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | UD da Serra | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
A question about UD da Serra vs O Elvas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UD da Serra vs O Elvas?
- The Footlab AI model makes UD da Serra the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for O Elvas.
- Where and when is UD da Serra vs O Elvas played?
- UD da Serra vs O Elvas is played on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo da Portela, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.