Match

Nesebar vs CSKA Sofia: prediction and stats

CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Nesebar

NesebarCSKA Sofia

The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Nesebar. The most likely score is 0-4.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,286 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nesebar vs CSKA Sofia?

CSKA Sofia starts as the favourite with a 278-point Elo edge (1,944 vs 1,666).

2%5%93%
Nesebar winDrawCSKA Sofia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nesebar vs CSKA Sofia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nesebar

4-3-3
  1. 77S. Statev
  2. 99Kristiyan Parashkevov
  3. 7N. Gelin
  1. 22R. Ismailov
  2. 8Viktor Kunev
  3. 10V. Dotsev
  1. 14Dimitar Balinov
  2. 3D. Lastardzhiev
  3. 5P. Dimov
  4. 21S. Pergelov
  1. 13Martin Sheytanov

CSKA Sofia

4-4-2
  1. 28I. Pittas
  2. 10J. Zwarts
  1. 7M. Ebong
  2. 8S. Sensi
  3. 6Bruno Jordão
  4. 99J. Eto'o
  1. 14T. Ivanov
  2. 17Á. Martino
  3. 2Pastor
  4. 32Facundo Santiago Rodríguez
  1. 21F. Lapoukhov

Computed on October 12, 2026 at 09:44 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nesebar have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; CSKA Sofia have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nesebar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-0Second League
Oct 4, 2026Rodopa Smolyan(away)3-1Cup
Sep 27, 2026Vihren(away)0-2Second League
Sep 20, 2026Beroe(home)4-3Second League
Sep 15, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)1-1Second League
CSKA Sofia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026CSKA 1948(away)3-2First League
Sep 20, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away)1-1First League
Sep 16, 2026Lokomotiv Sofia(away)2-0First League
Sep 12, 2026Arda Kardzhali(home)4-1First League
Sep 9, 2026Levski Sofia(away)4-2Super Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Nesebar wins, 0 draws, 1 CSKA Sofia win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2017Nesebar 1-4 CSKA SofiaCup

Last archived meeting: Nesebar vs CSKA Sofia on Sep 19, 2017

How many goals should we expect?

Nesebar score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nesebar2.31.449/158/15
CSKA Sofia2.11.158/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Nesebar vs CSKA Sofia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nesebar vs CSKA Sofia?
The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Nesebar.
Where and when is Nesebar vs CSKA Sofia played?
Nesebar vs CSKA Sofia is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nesebar and CSKA Sofia

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