Netherlands vs Italy: result 2-3 and analysis
UEFA Nations League3rd Place FinalKick-off on June 18, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
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What was the result of Netherlands vs Italy?
Italy won 2-3 on June 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 6′F. DimarcoItaly
- 20′D. FrattesiItaly
- 68′S. BergwijnNetherlands
- 72′F. ChiesaItaly
- 89′G. WijnaldumNetherlands
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Netherlands have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Italy have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2023 | Croatia(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 27, 2023 | Gibraltar(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | France(away) | 0-4 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Dec 9, 2022 | Argentina(home) | 2-2 | World Cup |
| Dec 3, 2022 | USA(home) | 3-1 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2023 | Spain(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Malta(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 23, 2023 | England(home) | 1-2 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Austria(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Albania(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Netherlands win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Italy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2020 | Italy 1-1 Netherlands | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 7, 2020 | Netherlands 0-1 Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 4, 2018 | Italy 1-1 Netherlands | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2017 | Netherlands 1-2 Italy | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2008 | Netherlands 3-0 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Netherlands score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Italy | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy