Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on January 19, 2027 at 08:00 AM (UTC)McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Melbourne City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newcastle Jets wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,845 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Newcastle Jets (1,833) and Melbourne City (1,847).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newcastle Jets
4-1-4-1- 9N. Vergos
- 14M. Burgess
- 43X. Bertoncello
- 6Z. Schreiber
- 27J. Recchia
- 11J. Lolley
- 23D. Wilmering
- 22J. Bertolissio
- 39T. Aquilina
- 5J. Shaughnessy
- 1J. Delianov
Melbourne City
4-2-3-1- 15A. Nabbout
- 14Besian Kutleshi
- 24Kavian Rahmani
- 23M. Memeti
- 11A. Mabil
- 19Q. Macnicol
- 13N. Atkinson
- 2H. Delbridge
- 4L. Bonetig
- 16A. Behich
- 1M. Freke
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 09:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle Jets have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Melbourne City have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 2-5 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Macarthur(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(away) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-7 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lions(away) | 0-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Weston Bears(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Newcastle Jets wins, 1 draw, 3 Melbourne City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Melbourne City 0-1 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 0-1 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Melbourne City 0-1 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Newcastle Jets 0-1 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Melbourne City 0-0 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Newcastle Jets 0-2 Melbourne City | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle Jets score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Melbourne City score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1 | 14/15 | 11/15 |
| Melbourne City | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle Jets sit 7th in A-League (2 points from 2 matches) and Melbourne City sit 10th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 10 | Melbourne City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
A question about Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Melbourne City.
- Where and when is Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City played?
- Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City is played on January 19, 2027 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at McDonald Jones Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.