Sydney vs Newcastle Jets: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 08:40 AM (UTC)Allianz Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab AI model makes Sydney the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Newcastle Jets. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sydney wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sydney vs Newcastle Jets?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Sydney (1,902) and Newcastle Jets (1,873).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sydney vs Newcastle Jets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sydney
4-2-3-1- 90O. Sunday
- 20T. Quintal
- 14T. Sekine
- 29J. Lacey
- 7A. Akon
- 15J. Hollman
- 23R. Grant
- 17B. Garuccio
- 4J. Courtney-Perkins
- 41A. Popovic
- 1G. Hoefsloot
Newcastle Jets
4-1-4-1- 9N. Vergos
- 14M. Burgess
- 28W. Dobson
- 10Z. Clough
- 6Z. Schreiber
- 43X. Bertoncello
- 23D. Wilmering
- 5J. Shaughnessy
- 22J. Bertolissio
- 39T. Aquilina
- 1J. Delianov
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sydney have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Newcastle Jets have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 0-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 18, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-0 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 4-2 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Bayswater City(away) | 5-1 | Australia Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-7 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Preston Lions(away) | 2-3 | Australia Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sydney wins, 2 draws, 2 Newcastle Jets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Newcastle Jets 1-1 Sydney | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Sydney 1-1 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Sydney 1-2 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 2-0 Sydney | A-League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 1-4 Sydney | A-League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Sydney 3-2 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Newcastle Jets vs Sydney on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sydney score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle Jets score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Newcastle Jets | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sydney sit 5th in A-League (39 points from 26 matches) and Newcastle Jets sit 1st (48 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55 | 39 | 48 |
| 5 | Sydney | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 25 | 39 |
A question about Sydney vs Newcastle Jets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sydney vs Newcastle Jets?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sydney the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Newcastle Jets.
- Where and when is Sydney vs Newcastle Jets played?
- Sydney vs Newcastle Jets is played on January 16, 2027 at 08:40 AM (UTC) at Allianz Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.