Ruthin Town vs Guilsfield: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Memorial Playing Fields, Ruthin / Rhuthun, Denbighshire
The Footlab model makes Guilsfield the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Ruthin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruthin Town vs Guilsfield?
Guilsfield starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,653 vs 1,497).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruthin Town have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Guilsfield have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ruthin Town(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newtown AFC(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ruthin Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Guilsfield win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guilsfield 2-2 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Guilsfield 3-2 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Ruthin Town 1-1 Guilsfield | FAW Championship |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Ruthin Town 2-0 Guilsfield | FAW Championship |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Guilsfield 3-1 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Guilsfield 2-1 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Guilsfield vs Ruthin Town on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ruthin Town score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Guilsfield score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruthin Town | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Guilsfield | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruthin Town sit 9th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Guilsfield sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Guilsfield | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Ruthin Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruthin Town vs Guilsfield?
- The Footlab model makes Guilsfield the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Ruthin Town.
- Where and when is Ruthin Town vs Guilsfield played?
- Ruthin Town vs Guilsfield is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Memorial Playing Fields, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.