Chrobry Głogów vs Puszcza Niepołomice: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion GOS, Głogów
The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Puszcza Niepołomice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chrobry Głogów vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Chrobry Głogów (1,855) and Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chrobry Głogów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Puszcza Niepołomice have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 5-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chrobry Głogów win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów 1-2 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Puszcza Niepołomice 0-0 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Puszcza Niepołomice 0-1 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Chrobry Głogów 1-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Chrobry Głogów 2-2 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Puszcza Niepołomice 2-2 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Chrobry Głogów vs Puszcza Niepołomice on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chrobry Głogów | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chrobry Głogów sit 8th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chrobry Głogów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 17 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chrobry Głogów vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
- The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Puszcza Niepołomice.
- Where and when is Chrobry Głogów vs Puszcza Niepołomice played?
- Chrobry Głogów vs Puszcza Niepołomice is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion GOS, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Miedz LegnicavsŁKS Łódź
- Nov 21, 2026Lechia GdanskvsOdra Opole
- Nov 21, 2026PodbeskidzievsNieciecza
- Nov 21, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsWarta Poznań
- Nov 21, 2026Stal RzeszówvsPolonia Bytom
- Nov 21, 2026Unia SkierniewicevsPogoń Siedlce
- Nov 21, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsArka Gdynia
- Nov 21, 2026Polonia WarszawavsStal Mielec