Match

FC Sochi vs Veles: prediction and stats

First LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, Sochi

FC SochiVeles

The Footlab model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Veles. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Sochi vs Veles?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate FC Sochi (1,831) and Veles (1,844).

FC Sochi win41 %
Draw29 %
Veles win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Sochi have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Veles have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Sochi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026KAMAZ(away)3-2First League
Aug 20, 2026FK Neftekhimik(away)2-1First League
Aug 16, 2026Volga Ulyanovsk(home)1-0First League
Aug 8, 2026Torpedo Moskva(away)2-1First League
Aug 1, 2026Leningradets(away)1-2First League
Veles
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Arsenal Tula(home)2-0First League
Aug 19, 2026Nizhny Novgorod(home)3-2First League
Aug 15, 2026Ska-khabarovsk(away)0-2First League
Aug 9, 2026Leningradets(home)2-1First League
Aug 3, 2026Rotor Volgograd(home)2-1First League

How many goals should we expect?

FC Sochi score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Veles score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Sochi1.71.149/159/15
Veles1.51.339/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Sochi sit 3rd in First League (16 points from 8 matches) and Veles sit 2nd (18 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Veles8602121018
3FC Sochi8512161016

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Sochi vs Veles?
The Footlab model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Veles.
Where and when is FC Sochi vs Veles played?
FC Sochi vs Veles is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, in the First League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Sochi and Veles

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