FC Sochi vs Veles: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, Sochi
The Footlab model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Veles. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Veles?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate FC Sochi (1,831) and Veles (1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Sochi have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Veles have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Leningradets(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(home) | 2-1 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Sochi score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Veles score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Sochi | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Veles | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Sochi sit 3rd in First League (16 points from 8 matches) and Veles sit 2nd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Veles | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | FC Sochi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Sochi vs Veles?
- The Footlab model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Veles.
- Where and when is FC Sochi vs Veles played?
- FC Sochi vs Veles is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026FC UFAvsUral
- Nov 21, 2026Ska-khabarovskvsRotor Volgograd
- Nov 21, 2026EniseyvsVolga Ulyanovsk
- Nov 21, 2026Shinnik YaroslavlvsFK Neftekhimik
- Nov 21, 2026Nizhny NovgorodvsTorpedo Moskva
- Nov 21, 2026TekstilshchikvsArsenal Tula
- Nov 21, 2026ChelyabinskvsLeningradets
- Nov 21, 2026KAMAZvsSpartak Kostroma