KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion KAMAZ, Naberezhnye Chelny
The Footlab AI model makes KAMAZ the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Spartak Kostroma. The most likely score is 1-1. If KAMAZ wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,024 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate KAMAZ (1,757) and Spartak Kostroma (1,853).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KAMAZ
4-2-3-1- 18A. Popov
- 10R. Zashchepkin
- 79V. Semenov
- 2D. Khubaev
- 99R. Akbashev
- 83M. Laykin
- 7R. Ayukin
- 67R. Tkachuk
- 15M. Burko
- 76A. Sukhanov
- 31A. Anisimov
Spartak Kostroma
4-2-3-1- 90A. Kalmykov
- 17D. Kaptilovich
- 87Armin Spahic
- 73D. Kirakosyan
- 22A. Nemchenko
- 18V. Kamilov
- 21M. Bugarin
- 5D. Zhilmostnykh
- 6N. Mohammadi
- 7K. Malyarov
- 50E. Shamov
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 09:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KAMAZ have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Spartak Kostroma have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 3-3 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Dinamo Kirov(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leningradets(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ural(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 KAMAZ win, 2 draws, 1 Spartak Kostroma win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma 3-1 KAMAZ | First League |
| May 1, 2026 | KAMAZ 2-0 Spartak Kostroma | First League |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Spartak Kostroma 1-1 KAMAZ | First League |
| Sep 25, 2025 | KAMAZ 0-0 Spartak Kostroma | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Kostroma vs KAMAZ on Jul 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KAMAZ score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Kostroma score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAMAZ | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Spartak Kostroma | 1.3 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KAMAZ sit 14th in First League (13 points from 14 matches) and Spartak Kostroma sit 4th (27 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spartak Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 27 |
| 14 | KAMAZ | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 13 |
A question about KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma?
- The Footlab AI model makes KAMAZ the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Spartak Kostroma.
- Where and when is KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma played?
- KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion KAMAZ, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.